Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Leading Stocks - Strongest Stocks on a Relative Strength Basis

Below are the strongest stocks based on a relative strength basis. I am not of the market. My goal is to be in the strongest stocks, in the strongest sectors when the market is healthy. According to my models the market is still weak until proven otherwise. None of these are personal recommendations or suggestions. The goal is to educate in order how to find the strongest stocks…as these…and more importantly best invested in the stock market when the market is healthy.

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Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
This website contains references to hypothetical trading results This website contains references to hypothetical trading results.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS
** THE MATERIAL DISPLAYED ON THIS WEBSITE IS INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

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Nasdaq Snapback Rally? $QQQ $SPY $GLOG

Is the Nasdaq going back up or is this a snapback rally? The volume has been lacking which is not showing alot of conviction. Until further proof the sidelines are the place to be…

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Nasdaq Plunges On Large Volume #QQQ #SPY

qqqselloff

I really thought after Thursdays sell off we would see somewhat of a bounce potentially with Yellen or Draghi with one of their encouraging speeches. However the markets continued to plunge. Time will tell if this is the beginning a correction, bear market or just a small retracement in the greater move of an extended old bull market. I built on Metastock a market timing formula very simplistic in nature. It is not perfect as nothing in trading is. There will be some whip saws, however for the big moves one stands the potential to stay on the right side of the market.

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Nasdaq Selloff How Bad Can it Really Get $QQQ $SPY $GLOG $UA $ALGN $JAZZ

I had a conversation with a Value Hedge fund yesterday. I thought to share their thoughts. They thought I was being too paranoid regarding the sell off. They felt this gave them an opportunity to buy more shares cheaply. We agreed to disagree.

My point is simply that the market can easily sell off hard from here without further warning…as well as can simply rebound as it has done so many times. No one knows the futures and prudence is the key.

In the video I present an indicator from Metastock which will keep you on the right side of the market.

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Fed Cat Bounce $SPY $QQQ

Ironically I had a conversation with a very large hedge fund manager before the Fed Cat bounce, that I would not be surprised if either Janet Yellen or Draghi will jaw bone the stock market and Shazam….it happened. It was so obvious. What more is obvious is how hard this market is to trade. Probably the only people who should be active in this volatility are day traders.

The market opened today with a continuation of yesterday’s rally ( dead cat bounce). The Fed minutes came out at and said in effect that the Fed’s employment level for tightening had been dropped. The major averages took off to the upside with the $QQQ leading the way with a gain of 1.72% while the $SPY was up 1.02%. The $SPY has now bounced off it’s 50 dma and the $QQQ is approaching this important moving average.

Well that sounds like great news and the bull market is going to continue ( which it surely might. Both major averages closed at their highs of the day, but volume was lower across the board. This shows that there was little buying pressure by large players.

The most beaten down leaders bounced today. This seems like a dead cat bounce or better said…Fed Cat Bounce!

Today’s action shows how difficult it is to operate in the current environment.

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Investment Manager Disappointment

I am writing this very introspectively. As I have been trend following and trading my own account since 1994. I had always felt that other hedge fund managers or CTAs were somewhat better. I had a very disappointing update from an investment manager my family has been with since 2009. He was down 16.9% in one month. This is unbelievable. He has been in the markets since 1980s. This is a complete lack of risk management!

What does this teach me? To trust myself and my trading abilities. I never had such a draw down. There were years I out performed as well as years I under performed. However I have come to the conclusion….

I trust myself more than any other Hedge fund manager or CTA. Yes, I will always have trades that do not work and long periods of draw downs which seem never to end however I trust myself. The point of this rambling is that you should also develop a trading plan and trust yourself. There is no magical system or indicator out there. It is all about understanding yourself. Your risk tolerances, time frames and expectations. You must have patience and discipline.

It can be accomplished. You can do this with the right mindset.

I take what occurred as a blessing. I trust in my creator and the GD given talents he has given me. I am far from perfect however I try to be aware of risk and how detrimental the markets can be.

Ironically today I had a conversation with a fund of fund manager with approx $1 billion under management. We also discussed the concept of trusting ones self and having manager disappoint. He was disappointed by the performance of managers in the 2007-2008 period. His firm is actively starting to trade tactical concepts via ETFs rather specific Hedge Fund managers.

More so I had one of my one on one mentoring sessions and was told twice this week that the trader wanted to get to a level he trusted himself for his families finances.

Trading is never easy. Always full of challenges. However with a thought out trading plan you can get to a level of confidence of trusting yourself as a pose to so called experts.

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Trend Following Bible Review

Dear Andrew,

Thank you for writing Trend Following Bible and sharing your wisdom.

It is indeed one of the best books on trading I have read so far in my 10 years as a trader.

Best regards
KS
trend following

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Nasdaq and Stock Market Selloff Continues

As much as the last several days have been very tough on the market anything can happen. We are in an environment that the FED comes to the rescue with QE and monetary bailouts. However leading stocks have been hit very hard.

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Trading Mistakes

The biggest trading mistake a trader can make is to give up. Through all the times in the markets more traders have quit out of frustration than have ever made money.

A trader seldom only makes only mistake. He usually makes two. This causes pressure. The harder one tries to avoid mistakes the more apt they are to make more mistakes. The harder we try, the poorer the results. One of the steps to succeed in trading is to operate in a relaxed manner.

Accept the fact you will have losses. Attempt to keep them small. Develop a trading plan that matches your personality. Think in terms of the next 1,000 trades….

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April Fools Day Rally & Janet Yellen Stock Market Rally $SAVE $QCOR $GLOG

Trading is always humbling. We just had a slight sell off and now getting back in the markets. You never know how deep or bad a sell off can be. I try to buy the strongest stocks in the stock market when the market is healthy.

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