Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Trend Following the Stock Market Weekend Review

It was a very ugly session on Friday. Closed almost on the intraday lows. Volume was slightly higher than average. It might seem we are in the late stages of a Bull market or early stages of a Bear market. The “FANG” stocks are not holding up well and failing with breakout attempts. Some of the FANG stocks from a trend following standpoint ( breaking 50 Day Moving Averages show complete weakness). This is a tough market to be long. The question is will the recent support hold?

In the meantime GLD is moving up past the 200 day exponential moving average.

Learn how to trend follow via trendfollowingmentor.com

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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If We are in a Bull Market Why Are These Stocks Dropping like Rocks $LKND $HBI $LGF

If We are in a Bull Market Why Are These Stocks Dropping like Rocks

$LKND
$LGF
$DATA
$GNW
$SPLK
$HBI

Oh…I forgot that we should be buy and hold investors….

This is why we always need a trading plan….

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Will The Stock Market Crash -TrendFollowing Perspective

I had this question yesterday..Will The Stock Market Crash from a Trend Following Perspective?

I do not make predictions nor go on CNBC…My answer to the dismay of the caller was rather shocked. I told him I have no idea. That in order for one to be a successful Trend Follower, they need to check their opinions at the door and believe that anything can and will happen. I told him as a trend follower I use rules in which I try to keep my loses small and be available for opportunities.

I further explained my trading trend following stock market rules. I pointed out, that in 2011 when all thought the stock market would fail, the stock market took off to the upside. This can happen again. However before this happens the stock indexes need to surpass the 200 day moving averages and probably test the lows. I told him in my opinion, the current situation is risky from a long side. From a trend following perspective, one should either be out of their longs or if they have the knowledge, look from the short side.

Trend following is not just an indicator or watching CNBC. It takes years of education and emotional fortitude.

I am here to help….
Best

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Wild Stock Market Session TrendFollowing

Yesterday was one wild stock market session yesterday. After opening stronger the major averages sold off to significant losses and it looked like it would be another negative day. HOWEVVVVERRRRR…the roller coaster started. For those you love roller coasters…have fun. I prefer to avoid drama and sit patiently in cash.

One can easily say…The reversal we had today is generally a good sign, but it is hard to get to excited. What is interesting is that we been hitting support. However I am still in cash…

You chose…Do you want to learn how to avoid the stock market roller coaster?

qqq

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Getting Started With Trading Online

You might have come across the term ‘online trading’ a good number of times. What is online trading? It is just an act of placing trades through a platform provided by the online broker of your choice. Trading online can be performed in a number of different markets today including, Forex, stocks, commodities, futures, CFDs and more.

When we say that you are placing your trades over the internet does not mean that you are the one placing the trade orders online. There is an intermediary or middleman placing your trade orders on your behalf and collecting commissions or brokerages for those services.
How to start trading online?

To start trading online in the financial market of your choice, you need to search for a reputed broker online for your field. There is a good number of online brokers available today but you need to choose the most reliable and the reputed one who is regulated. After selecting the broker of your choice, register an account with the broker. Most of the brokers offer a demo account today so that you can test their services and also you can learn trading in a real environment without losing any real money. After you develop some experience you can open a live trading account with the broker of your choice.

Trading online is easy and convenient but in whichever market you trade, you must be aware of the different strategies and skills needed for the trading. You should also understand the risks and should always perform risk management in order to cut your losses as much as you can. Reading online articles and tutorials on the type of trading you have selected is better so that you learn about the different elements of trading. Also know the risks of online trading and beware of fraudulent and greedy brokers who just want to run away with your money.

Few things to consider when selecting an online broker

Few considerations are important when you look for the right online broker for your needs.
Safety of funds – The brokers who are registered with some good regulating authorities are better to be selected as they are regulated and there is a security for your funds.

Transparency – All the rules, regulations, costs, commissions etc. should be well conveyed to you and there should not be any discrepancy.

Reviews – The reviews of the broker should be good and the ratings should be good for the broker you select. But it should be checked first that all the ratings and reviews for the broker is authentic and only real persons have given the reviews and ratings. Check if there are negative reviews about the broker you have selected and check the authenticity of them.

Customer service – Talk to the customer service of the selected broker and check the response and answers they provide. This is the best way to make sure their trading online services are on the satisfying level.

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Gold $8000 an Ounce? Willem Middelkoop Thinks so !!!

Willem Middelkoop is the founder of the Commodities Discovery Fund. In this video he discusses the history of monetary shifts and explores a scenario where the US dollar could be debunked as the global reserve currency. Willem discusses the possibility of gold being incorporated back into the monetary system, outlining the knock-on effects and the role of central banks in this scenario. Putting things into perspective…Middelkoop predicted the collapse of the real estate market in 2006. Not that many others did.

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Trend Following Results During Worse Quarter SP 500 Performance

I received an interesting email this morning showing how trend following the BTOP 50 did compared to the worse quarter Sp 500 performance. Firstly I want to point out the the SP 500 has completely out performed the BTOP 50 in recent years. Investing is never easy and what is easy is to loose money and quit.

Curious to hear thoughts and comments…
trend1

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE (“FOREX”) IS SUBSTANTIAL.

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Bullish Divergence on $GLD Trend Following

There is a Bullish divergence on Gold’s ETF GLD. We are still below the 200 day moving average however GLD is knocking on the door to break out….

gld

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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Trend Following Stock Watch list

I always look at the market first to determine if I should be invested or not. Currently I do not have a buy signal on the QQQ or SPY. We are below all the major averages…ie 50 day…and 200 day. However anything can happen when trend following and I do not want to have opinions. When the market is deemed healthy I want to buy the strongest stocks in the strongest sectors.

I have been sitting on the sidelines in cash waiting. I expected a rebound which occurred however to say the correction is over is hard to say…

My watch list consists of the following:

ORLY
HA
CRAY
SEDG
TTWO
EW
CTSH

This is not a shopping list, rather a watch list for trend following. I am looking for breakouts of patterns when and if the market is deemed healthy…

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Trend Following the Stock Market – Is the Bottom In? Weekend Review

With this weeks rebound is the coast clear to dive into bargain stocks? This has been the top topic and the truth is I do not make predictions. I have a hard set of rules that I follow. There are key moving averages that need to be overcome. We are still way below the 200 day exponential moving average. No major positive divergences and no retest of the lows.

The good news possibly is that the vast majority of stocks are below there perspective 200 day moving averages…Majority of stocks have been hitting 52 week lows. There are exceptions like Facebook and the self storage space. It does not seem like capitulation yet…I am still on the sidelines…

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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