Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Finally A Stock Market Rally?


If we can base our trades on history ( I prefer to follow the trend and guessl)..then after all of the blood letting we have seen over the last several months a rally is in the cards. The million dollar question is will the lows of November hold.. a kind of line of demarcation? Will the market hold from here and rally? Well if the lows of November hold one could easily speculate that the market will rally.

History tells us that six months after a major low, the market was higher in nine of the 10 cases (flat in 1937). The average gain was 17 percent.

Twelve months after the low, the market was higher in nine cases out of 10 (flat in 1929-1930). The average gain in 12 months was 24 percent.

I am not trying to mitigate the economic issues the world currently faces. However, there are always problems. The U.S. equity market has shown a compound average annual return of 9 percent since the turn of the century in spite of events such as the Great Depression, World War II, the Cold War, the Cuban missile crisis, Watergate, the Arab oil embargo, and the stock-market crashes of 1929 and 1987.

Many ( or two many) are calling a bottom… and calling for investors to step up to the plate. On the other hand the fact of the matter is many people have retreated to cash, or to a mixture of cash and bonds. Many of these investors could miss the next rally.

Time will tell…Instead of predicting it is alot easier reacting

History may not repeat. But my guess is that it will.

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