Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Who will Survive AIG or the Derivatives Nightmare?

aig

The question is will AIG survive? AIG has basically two terrible choices, they can sell prized assets to their competitors or they can
give a large portion of their business to the US Govt. AIG is faced with huge losses. The US government is trying to keep the giant
insurer from failing thus causing a falling dominoe effect on other institutions and companys. Remember the word counterparty risk.
AIG sold all types of Derivative productives and if these start failing Pandora will surely exit her box. The dominoes will not just fall…
but cascade. This is why the US government is so keen on not letting AIG fail.

The problem is AIG is hemorraging cash. AIG’s need for liquidity is growing so quickly that $8 billion, or even $11 billion, would not help.
A virtual black hole. AIG is to report 4th quater losses of approx $60 billion next week. This type of loss on could initiate a domino
effect as discussed.

Initially a credit downgrade would occur then collateral calls and if AIG failed to produce the required amounts, the financial
institutions holding its contracts would have to recognize losses of their own. The dominoes would start falling & companys
would erode their capital bases and thus at risk of a downgrade.
Now is the time the derivative monster is emerging from Pandoras box.


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