Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Berkshire Profit Plunges 96%


Isn’t it logical with stocks falling harder than rocks that even the Oracle of Omaha would be impacted.

This is theֲ ֲ fifth-straight profit drop, the longest streak of quarterly declines in at least 17 years, on losses from derivative bets tied to stock markets.ֲ Berkshireג€™s fourth-quarter net income fell 96 percent to $117 million.Theֲ Book valueֲ per share, a measure of assets minus liabilities, slipped 9.6 percent for all of 2008, the worst performance under Buffettג€™s career. Both declining values of derivatives and the stock portfolio led to the downturn. Berkshire shares have plunged 44 percent in the past year.

ֲ I am surely not anyone to judge Warren Buffet but I did not really understand his recent purchases of GE and Morgan Stanley.Cheap has a way to get cheaper. In an earlier post I posed the question was Warren following his teacher Ben Graham who purchased stocks at the beginning of the Great Depression. It took Graham almost 10 years to get to Break Even. ( Will this happen to Buffett?)



Do you remember when Warren said that derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction. Buffet made the statment this weekֲ ֲ the economy will be ג€œin shamblesג€ֲ this year, and perhaps longer, before recovering from the reckless lending that caused the worst ג€œfreefallג€ he ever saw in the financial system. Another quote that he made this week was that ֲ ג€œFear led to business contraction, and that in turn led to even greater fear.

All in all Buffett is putting on the impression of a positive face to all of this… however the back drop that he and all of us are facing is the USֲ Gross domestic product shrank at a 6.2 percent annual pace from October through December, the most since 1982. Another dismal fact is thatֲ Standard & Poorג€™s 500 Index turned in itsֲ worst yearֲ since 1937.


Hopefully Buffett learned from his lessons from his teacher Ben Graham.

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