Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Acquisition, Construction and Development loans.

consrtuciton

The next shoe to drop. It seems that there are so many shoes dropping many will go barefoot.

ADC loans account for approxֲ 8.4 percent of all bank loans, just below a 30 year peak. These loans ֲ are used by developers to buy land, put in infrastructure and construct housing or commercial and office space. It is pretty clear that there is severe weakness in this sector. The real problem this is one of the cores of the US banking system. One could say they were the vanilla loans that banks made. More so they areֲ ֲ concentrated in smaller banks, their fate is particularly interesting as it indicates that issues with the banking system go far deeper.ֲ 

It leaves one to really question how Citi can say they had one of their best quaters with commercial loans just starting to fail. Citi has given the pundits the all clear sign. However the FDIC just increased their kitty to 500 billion dollars from 50 billion. Does that tell you something? Does the FDICֲ have the funds to deal with the implosion of the commercial market? Even if they ֲ have ֲ ( print) the money to solve this upcoming issue…do they have ֲ scalability or manpower to deal with ֲ all these problem banks. How many banks can they they realistically audit and control?

There are estimates floating around that ֲ U.S. banks risk having to charge off an additional $84 billion of ADC loans between now and 2013, equal to a hit of nine percent of Tier 1 capital.

The question is do you really believe Citi the worst is over?ֲ 

Or is it just beginning?


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