Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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China is Worried On the Safety of US Treasuries


Yesterdayֲ Premier Wen Jiabo came out and expressed his concerns over the safety of ֲ US Treasuries. He wants gurantees andֲ assurances that the investment is safe. Wow… US Treasuries have historically been the SAFEST investment. Now the Chinese are questioning the integrity of the US. Is this politics or are they aware of how badly the US economy is being mismanaged and that bailouts are flowing more than any gushing river.ֲ 

Wen stated ,”I request the U.S. to maintain its good credit, to honor its promises and to guarantee the safety of Chinaג€™s assets”. How can the US maintain is good credit and guarantee this when the printing presses are running and virtually hand is seeking a bailout? Obamaֲ is relying on China to continue to buy Treasuriesֲ ֲ as he ֲ sells record amounts of debt to fund a $787 billion economic-stimulus package. Obama needs to wake up to the fact that currently the Chineseֲ have lost money on these securities so far this year. Chineseֲ investors have had a loss of 2.7 percent in yuan terms this year.ֲ The dollar has dropped 17 percent against the yuan since China ended a fixed-exchange rate in July 2005.ֲ So why would they continue to purchase? Is it the percieved security the US offers?ֲ 

Add this fact plusֲ Chinaג€™s loss of more than $5 billion from investing $10.5 billion of its reserves in New York-based Blackstone Group LP, Morgan Stanley and TPG. ֲ After suffering these losses China shifted intoֲ the relative safety of Treasuries last year. It is a catch 22 for the Chinese..if they start selling Treasuries… their holdings would suffer further losses , because potentially it will trigger a collapse in U.S. debt.


Either way you look at it… It is not a good situation… Wouldn’t it be nice that the US becomes fiscally responsible!

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