Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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The Death of the US Dollar?

ֲ 

dollarThe flood of US dollars seems to be coming, as well as inflation. The Federal Reserve started buying massive amounts of Treasuries and is gearing up its purchases of mortgage debt.ֲ The Fed will buy as much as $300 billion in long-term Treasurys in the next six months. It will increase it’s purchases of mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to $1.25 trillion, up from $500 billion. The printing presses got an injection of high octane yesterday. The FED willֲ buy or lend against everything from corporate debt, mortgages and consumer loans to government bonds.

ֲ Well as that was thought to good for the stock market, the US dollar sufferedֲ 2.7 percent drop to 84.595, its biggest one-day drop since 1971. The US dollar index is an index which tracks theֲ currencyג€™s performance against the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc and Swedish krona. The US ֲ dollarֲ fell yesterday by the most in nine years versus the euro, to $1.3474, and traded at $1.3433.ֲ The Dollar Index started to decline from 2005 on worries about the widening current account deficitֲ and reached a record low in the first quarter of 2008 as credit market losses mounted following the crash of the subprime mortgage market.

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There is wide spread concern ifֲ ֲ ֲ Obama and the FED push through another stimulus package, the dollar is done. Obama is seeking Congressional approval for a $3.55 trillion budget for the year starting in October that would increase spending by 32 percent to kick start the economy. All the while bonuses are being paid out to incompentants at companies such as AIG,Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae ( countless others).

The US is not alone …and it will be very interesting to see which other countriesֲ central banks hold out longer against the temptation to print money.ֲ All the major central banks may end up in the same position as the US. Al lcentral banks are struggling with ֲ how to steer their economies when interest rates are already close to zero.ֲ Lets face it.. virtually every country is having problems. Possibly the EU could be facing greater hardships, yet they have not taken the steps the US has. The Bank of Japan is purchasing government notes and making subordinated loans to banks, and the Swiss National Bank is selling francs to prevent gains against the euro. Basically no one is immue…In the EU it is very difficult to fire employees among numerous other regulations. This will hit their economies very hard as well.ֲ 

Will monetary policy like this ֲ get us out of the economic abyss we are in? Thngs do not seem to change. In the Great Depression the US dollar devalued. Why can it not happen again?ֲ 

More and more it seems the Chinese have good reason to worry.


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