Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Is Gas Going Up Again?

A very interesting thing has been happening slowly slowly. Oil has started to rebound. Are we in store for more Peak Oil scares ( reality). Unfortunately I nor anyone knows where Oil is going. But what I do know is that Oil was one of the strongest commodity movers last week on a relative basis. From the lows of Feb 19th Oil has made a tremendous move. The question is will it continue? For the week Oil is up approx 10.7%. Seems that many are seeking reasons… maybe it was the result of the FED action and the fears of a weakened dollar or inflation. Reasons are redundant for traders. The fact is Oil moved. The next question is how to put on a low risk trade? As a Trend follower, one becomes interested but only if they can put on a low risk trade. There are many gurus who have waggered big on Oil this year. Richard Rainwater who sold on the way up has gotten back in the market at the $90.00 range ( possibly prematurely). He purchased bought Exxon (XOM) stock at approx $75, bought ConocoPhillips (COP) at approx $68, Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) under $50, BP (BP) as well as Statoil. Rainwater made Billions in his earlier foray into Oil. Was he lucky…or were his instincts toned. It is hard to second guess anyone but he surly experienced harsh open trade draw downs. On the same tangent one can mention T Boone Pickens and BP Capital. His fund BP Capital has sustained a staggering loss of $2 billion from the drop in oil and natural gas prices. Personally Pickens has lost about $400 million.
An interesting question with these losses, who do you think was on the opposite side of the trade? It is funny no one seems to mention that… On CNBC Pickens was repeatedly asked about Oil ( after all he is an Oil expert) and he lost a ton of his money as well as his investors money.

I think what can be simply gleaned from this example is that the fact that crude moves …is it moves..No one one knows if the move will continue or not. Oh by the way… I would be willing to bet those who were on the opposite side of the trade of T Boone Pickens were Trend Followers.. They just try to find to find trends and put on low risk trades. They do not know anything more than that. More so… seems they made alot of money just knowing that.

Andy Abraham

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