Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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What Comes After a Trillion


The innocence and knowledge of a child is sometimes much more clearer than our insights. My young daughter asked me what comes after a Trillion dollars. My son answered a Zillion. I had to interject and add that does not exist ( yet). Maybe U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will invent a new number the way he is going.
I do not find it hard to be in the minority. The stock market loved the announcement. So many ( maybe so) think the bottom is in and they are rushing in buy all the bargains. It still resonates with me all the money that was lost year trying to buy cheap. The fact was cheap got cheaper. Only time will tell if this is a Bear Market Rally or a true bottom.
There are two levels to this… obviously a trading one and the other an economic debate. Yesterday the noble laureate Krugman came out and harshly criticized Tim Geithner’s plan. What is concerning was Krugman’s exact words, “”In fact it fills me with a sense of despair.” This is not just me or a man in the street. This is a Nobel Laureate an economist from Princeton. He phrased very simply
“The Geithner scheme would offer a one-way bet: if asset values go up, the investors profit, but if they go down, the investors can walk away from their debt,”. What a great investment for an investor. Heads I win, Tails I lose and I don’t have to pay anything.

Seems very clearly there could be an inefficiency due to the fact that the bad loans may be undervalued because there is too much fear in the current climate. We see this all the times in trading..and who will bear the brunt of the inefficiency guess..Joe the plumber and fellow taxpayers.

What happens if the plan fails, ( which I think it will) besides the fact that more money goes down the proverbial AIG toilet drain, How would Obama persuade Congress to come up with more funds?

Possibly to answer my children what comes after a Trillion? A zillion… inflation…hyperinflation… Defaults???

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Andy Abraham

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