Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Sure the Bear Market Is Over?

As GM Goes, So Goes The Nation, The famous remark by Charles Wilson is as appropriate now as it was in 1953. Charles Wilson declared before Congress that what was good for the country was good for GM and vice versa. Does Gm’s rise to power and decline towards insolvency parallel the rise and fall of the US? GM’s market cap reached approx $50 billion in 2000. Currently its market capitalization dropped below $1 billion to levels last seen during the 1920’s.
Virtually all car makers ( even Toyota) suffered sales declines reaching 36% or more compared to March 2008. Throughout the US sales totaled 857,735 cars and light trucks, down 37% from 2008. The good news though is that it is up from 688,909 vehicles sold in February and was the highest total since September. February’s sales were down 41% from a year earlier. Is this enough to keep the the whole US auto business going down the drain? As GM goes, so does the Nation????

Time will tell but as Nissim Taleb states in the Black Swan, Expect the Unexpected. So many are calling a bottom of this economic abyss. This is one of the greatest problems with Bear markets and their rallys. They instill false hope and quickly take investors money. More capital has been lost trying to catch the bottom. This bearish signal was confirmed by the general consensus among “Gurus” was that a bottom was in.
Can the stock market really fall any further? Too many don’t believe it can happen. The stock market fell in the great depression almost 90%. Just look at the Nasdaq in the 2002 period. Again it is anyone’s guess but from a technical standpoint there exists great weakness. On March 30 from a technical analysis standpoint a very significant day, a proverbial 90 percent down-day.This is an extremely negative technical sign, however it’s not as flawless but makes technicians concerned. A 9 to 1 up/down day is when the volume of rising stocks on the NYSE in nine times the volume of falling stocks. It is called momentum thrust, from Martin Zweig in his book “Winning on Wall Street.”

The question is will we test the recent lows and take them out?

If these lows are surpassed the bear market will be re-confirmed, and quite possibly strengthen in velocity. It is obvious that we will see greater unemployment and the economy to worsen. With the FED spending money more than a shopaholic what is one to do?

Simple…Stay flexible. Do not even think about picking up bargain stocks ( unless they are Gold Stocks). Diversify your currencies have at a minimum of 5% of your net worth in Gold. Bear in mind as much as it seems everyone thinks gold will go to thousands of dollars.. it might fall. Anything can happen, but you are purchasing an insurance policy.

New Dollar Yen Relationship revealed:
This video explains step-by-step how to analyze the dollar and
its relationship to the Yen.

Watch this Video – See where we are in this Rally

Bear market rallyג€¦or serious reversal?

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