Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Not So Stressful Bank Test- Depression 1929 Again?

Sure, the recession ( depression) is over. The stock market is booming. So much for a Bear Market rally. Only 10 out of 19 banks need some money. Just the sum of that money ranges in the $10 billion here…and maybe another $10 Billion there. It is small money considering the trillions that have been thrown around so quickly. We only had one bank failure last week. Great news. I guess so many forgot the point that there are TRILLIONS of dollars of derivatives floating around on the books of these so called healthy banks. It seems that they are a black hole sucking up money without relent. Oh, Also I forgot about unemployment. The world is wonderful. Until the unemployment stops it is unimaginable that the current crisis will relent. How will unemployed people pay their credit card bills. It does not matter, the credit card companies will get a bailout. How will unemployed people make their car payments? It does not matter GMAC will receive bailout money. How will the mall owners or shopping center owners pay their mortgage since the unemployed are not shopping? It does not matter that is what AIG promised. This is the crux of the problem the derivative contracts they wrote are worthless except for the money of the US tax payer that went to save AIG.
Not to sound like a conspiracy theorist, Was the Stress test just public relations. Did the FED really think it out before hand. Many have said the tests were not stringent enough. (ie. Based on a 10% unemployment… when in many states 10% is surpassed if part time workers are included..or those who have given up already). Did the FED think what would happen to the banks that were deemed to fail the test? A run on their accounts…stock collapse? Wonderful!

Also I forgot inflation is dead. By the way, Crude has just made another new high. Consider the amount of money printed and the trillions of dollars used in so many bailouts it seems history could be a repeat of the Depression 1929 again or worse. It seems that paper assets are beyond risk and real commodities could be the only way to protect assets. At the end of the day…… wheat are real. They do not go to zero. Don’t think these are risk free. There are risks. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Think about diversifying your portfolio. Think about some gold as a worst case scenario…as well as a basket of Trend Followers that understand risk. Ask them… how much they risk per trade…( should never be more than 1%..preferably less)… risk per sector…and open trade risk. ..and lastly margin to equity ( the lower the better…preferably 10-15%).. Thinking in terms like this might save your net worth.

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