Commodity Trading & Trend Following

Nouriel Roubini was one of the only economists who called the worst recession/depression out of all the experts out there. It leads one to question where are the experts? Can we trust all these experts that are calling for green shoots while foreclosures are increasing and unemployment is increasing? As I am commodity trading advisor [...]

Looking 20 year in the future would be better off with a buy and hold strategy or commodity futures trading (trend following)? All seem to want the short cut that is why they are watching CNBC or Bloomberg. They are seeking the holy grail.. ( which in my terms is only Patience…Discipline and trend following [...]

Trend followers and Mutual fund managers react to price in different ways. The price refers to a potential profit or loss for both the commodity trading advisor whose method is trend following and a mutual fund manager. If the price increases from the point of purchase both commodity trading advisors and mutual fund managers profit. [...]

Is the SP 500 bear market rally ending?
Read an interesting post this am. Glenn Neely from the NEoWave Institute a well known Elliott Wave trader came out with a call that the S&P 500 is forming a major top in June, which will be followed by a large decline, eventually pushing the stock market to [...]

Commodity trading advisors that utilize trend following have long known there is no Holy Grail. When trend following, commodity trading advisors know that anything can happen. Bearing in mind that anything can happen, commodity trading advisors have abandoned concepts such as fundamental analysis or simply Buy & Hold ( hope).Many successful trend followers and commodity [...]

Market history has show us that whenever there is turmoil in the markets trend following and commodity trading advisors benefit. Last year was an example as was the first Gulf War. Trend Following commodity trading advisors were up ranging from the mid 20% range to some such as Drury and Mulvaney capital up 70%- 100%. [...]

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As Ed Seyokta ( one of the legends of commodity futures trading) would say Drawdowns are like exhaling. If you want to make money in commodity futures trading you will have drawdowns. Drawdowns are a natural part of commodity futures trading. A drawdown is any losing period of a commodity trading advisor or in any [...]

As most commodity trading advisors know, Buy Strength and Sell Weakness. Bearing this in mind with our trend following methodology, the commodity trade of the week seems to be lumber. Lumber has had a tremendous sell off. To put this commodity trade in perspective in 1993 Lumber was selling for $929.10 hitting a low of [...]

To quote Jim Rogers ” most people don’t have the discipline to stay focused on any single goal for 5,10,or 20 years, giving up everything to make it succeed. This is what is needed to be an olympic athlete,world class surgeon, or ballerina. Even then it might be all in vain…If you want to run [...]