Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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The Decline of the US Dollar in the Forex Markets


It has been a negative period for the US dollar in the Forex Markets. When we are trend following we really do not look at the fundamental back drop ,but it seems evident. Look at it this way… with all the debt taken on and more spending by Govt, it doesnג€™t make sense? If we personally ran our households this way, we would not be living in our households.

Regardless when we are trend following all we look at is price. The thinking that I focus on is risk and defense. I look at Risk per trade, Risk per sector…and total Open trade risk. I will never figure out any market (even though many want me to)! The funny thing is even if the future was known and published on the front page of any newspaper, the market might react in a fashion that is completely opposite of what would have been expected. For this reason, I only rely on price action. This is the bottom line. I have learned over the years Price is always right. I have learned my opinions do not make me money. I am trading to compound my money, not to brag to someone I made a prediction that worked out. To go on further, most trades that I put on do not work. With this said.. I really do not care because I am taking small losses.

My reason of speaking about the decline of the US Dollar in the forex markets to show you what is trend following all about. Trend following is about not trading your opinions. Trend following is about being available. Trend Following is about patience and discipline. Trend Following is all about just putting on the trades and watching to see what happens. Trend following is a specific approach with all aspects of the trade planned out. Trend following is realizing that you engage the risk. Trend Following is far from perfect and there are many times nothing happens for a long period of time (like this year).

On 7.15.09 there was a signal to sell the Dollar Index in the Forex Markets at 79.09. So far the trade is profitable but who knows what will happen. There was a small risk to the stop… so nothing to think about. Then on 7.20.09 a buy signal on the Aussi Dollar at 80.51. Again, Low risk… and took the trade… but later I started having signals in the Canadian…British…Euro…These trades were not taken because they would have exceeded my sector risk. I maxed out my sector risk with the two above mentioned trades. That is it. I am not greedy. I am following my thought out plan. I know that as much as all those trades are working now. I could wake up and see them all going against me and I would have amplified my risk. This is what trading for a commodity trading advisor really is all about. It is not all about the return on investment but how much risk you will have to tolerate to achieve your goals.

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Andrew Abraham

Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose money



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