My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following.
Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.
How Fundamental Analysis Can Fail in Commodity Trading
Probably most commodity trading advisors know there is a glut of Natural Gas. We all know from basic economics, Supply and Demand. The fact is there has been a rising level of natural gas. Natural gas supply actually is standing at an all-time high. Put into context the recession, demand has even weakened further thus prices have been falling. So one could take all of this fundamental knowledge and think they know where the natural gas market is headed. Sureג€¦ Well on the New York Mercantile Exchange on Friday Natural Gas rallied about 25.2 cents or 5.6%. This spike is enough to kill an unsuspecting commodity trader. What is the reason Natural Gas spiked? It can be stated for numerous reasonsג€¦such as the economy is improvingג€¦we are going to have a cool winter. Or simply how about it just went upג€¦ anything can happen and it did. It probably hurt some traders in Natural Gas that were relying simply on Fundamental Analysis. According to fundamental analysis this should not have happened. Regardless this is what separates trend followers and long term commodity trading advisers. Trend Followers have a plan and follow it with discipline. If you want to improve your tradingג€¦ send me an email and we can speak about itג€¦
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Andrew Abraham
www.AJpartnersinc.com
Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose
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I started commodity trading about two months ago. My boss started it. He wanted me to start as well being a very lucrative business.
Initially I made some money . Ijust followed a trend and earned some money. I was without a definited plan. It was like hunting ducks. Seeing a taking off duck I would shoot irrespective of how much cartriges I am wasting. Know I have enough of knowlege about trend lines, pivot point, support and resistants etc. Where to buy and where to short sell. When to exit and enter BUT still most of my enteries are not rewarding.
WHY?????
Need your help.
Best Wishes,
KHALEEQ
Karachi PAKISTAN