Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Is This The End of The Stock Market Rally?

There are really no isolated incidents in the world. Today we are waking up to the news that Dubai might be defaulting on its debt. Stock Markets around the world are plummeting. There are many other issues that hardly made the news. Firstly Vietnam devalued their currency and their populace as Mark Mobius has coined the statement has entered into a ג€œSurge of Fearג€. There is confusion and uncertainty once again. Vietnam raised interest rates to try to lower inflation. However there is a backdrop that really no paid attention to. This is why the public always loses money. Investors Intelligence reported this week the lowest number of bears in the last 6 years. The bullish to bearish ratio is 3 to 1 as well. The bullish percentage measured by Investors Intelligence surpassed 50% this week as well. One can also look at the the RSI of the SP 500 and it is in the 80% range..Basically grossed overbought. Putting all these pieces into the puzzle, the stock market looks vulnerable. The public always gets it wrong.

So how does this effect trend followers?ג€¦ First the good news.. Then the bad news.. Must be balanced. Nothing just happens.. Many trend followers have been long the interest rates..Which are benefiting from todayג€™s actionג€¦as well as long the Japanese Yen. The bad news is many trend followers have been long gold and it is getting clobbered..As well as many trend followers have been short the US dollar and today it has strengthened..As well as many trend followers have been long the stock indexes which are now getting clobbered.. Bottom line effect.. Probably a small effect on trend followers.. In times of crisisג€™s as this might be the start ofג€¦ trend followers and commodity trading advisors usually have positions on in the direction and profit from these times. Nothing is perfect that is why one needs to have a diverse portfolio. Some trades workג€¦and some do not.
The real question isג€¦.Is this the beginning of the end for the stock market rally? In all honesty I would not be surprised in we open way down on the SP 500 only to rally up. Anything can happenג€¦just have your thought out plan in place.

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Andrew Abraham
Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose money

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