Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Double Dip

This word Double dip seems to be on so many investors minds. The idea of the double dip is not a dip in the pool but rather an another dip into a recession or worse a depression. Looking at the facts and not being pessimistic, the housing market is showing no signs of a recovery nor is the unemployment rate. Being a technical analyst as well as a trend follower the SP 500 is in a down trend. Actually a very negative one! Besides being below the 200 day moving average the SP 500 is also now below the 50 day moving average. It seems like an under statement from Ben S. Bernanke, who calls the current economic outlook “unusually uncertain.” It can be easily said Grave!

Every trend follower knows to take it day by day and avoid any projections and simply follow the trend. Time will tell if we fall into this “Double Dip”.

While the Stock market has been under performing and causing bleed to buy and hold ( pray) investors….What has been one of the best trades this year for trend followers has been the interest rates. The rally of long-term Treasury bonds, which continues to outperform the stock market and nearly every other asset class has been this years winner so far. The problem however is if one starts to really think about this…would you lend to someone who might not be able to pay you back and has too much debt. This is really the unthinkable but the balance sheet of the Fed is not the healthiest. The Fed can always print more money but the consequences are not the most favorable.

The question I hear consistently is what should I do with my money? How can I protect my net wealth? This is not an easy answer but trend following a large basket of markets has in the past has been the answer for many investors as well as myself personally. However the proverbial statement, Past performance is not indicative of future performance needs to be adhered to. When was the last time the US was on the verge of deflation? Not since the Great Depression and Bernanke is doing his best to prevent this from happening again. Personally I feel trend following a large basket of liquid markets and allocating to commodity trading advisors gives me the best liquidity, transparency and chance ( and I really mean chance..there are no guarantees in trend following) to compound my money.

It has been very rough rolling 24 months for most trend followers. Very few have been profitable but this is to be expected and part of any commodity trading advisors returns. To the ill informed this would be a time to shun trend following. To the contrary I have seen commodity trading advisors commit more of their own money into their strategies and personally I have been allocating to commodity trading advisors who have been a long period of time who have suffered ( expected ) draw downs.

Double dip or not…It might be worthwhile considering trend following in your investment portfolio.

Andrew Abraham
A.Abraham@AngusJackson.com
www.AJpartnersinc.com
www.myinvestorsplace.com
Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose money


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