Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Timing is Everything in Trend Following

Timing is Everything in Trend Following

Timing is everything in life. Before I explain the title “Timing is Every thing in Trend Following” want to clarify that my time frame for investment in Trend Following is the next 30-40 years…. Trend following is my life time investment strategy. The idea of timing in Trend Following has more to do with when you enter a trading program or simply entering a trade can have a significant effect on your trading results. This became very clear to me this summer. As I trade my own programs I also allocate to commodity trading advisors to smooth out my returns. I prefer to enter established Commodity trading advisors when they have a draw down as an entry point. Using the title again…Timing is everything in Trend Following, I allocated to a commodity trading advisor who had been trend following since 1996. He has numerous programs, one of which I entered last year during one of his draw downs. As of Sept this year he overcame his draw down and is now at a new equity peak. This Commodity trading advisor had several other programs going through a very rough period. In the beginning of August (2010) I decided to invest in 3 of his programs which were going through steep draw downs. I notionally invested in them by mid month and started trading in a managed account. However as the title “Timing is everything in trend following” unknown by me at the time his existing positions in those portfolios were taking off like a rocket ship and I was not onboard this rocket ship. By the time I allocated these were existing positions and I was only taking new trades. This commodity trading advisor ended up having one of his best months trading since existence….and even though I tried to buy his draw down, my timing by just 2 weeks left me with me missing the rocket express. On one level this is to be expected when investing in commodity trading, that is why I state over and over commodity trading is a marathon and I pray to stay in the race for the next 30-40 years but can sulk to some degree.

Another real time example is if you miss one trade in a trading program you will have significant differences in trend following returns. This real time example is cotton. Cotton has been a phenomenal trade in my trend following methodology. If I had started later or missed for some reason the cotton trade from the summer I would have much different trading results. As I have seen so much in commodity trading and trend following the conclusion is every trade must be taken. We never have the luxury to know what trade will work and which not. More so even when trying to buy draw downs in established commodity trading advisors draw downs can worsen or reverse to the positive in extreme short periods of time.

Andrew Abraham
Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose money

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