Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Probabilities in Trend Following

I recently had a discussion with a colleague regarding probabilities in trend following. His basic premise was there were no probabilities in his way of trading ( fundamental- long only stocks) and could not fathom the idea that I am basically making low risk bets and know eventually I will fall into some nice trends. To him, hearing this…was like gibberish.

I explained him this gibberish has worked for the last 17 years for me personally…and decades for other trend followers. In his daily regiment it was imperative to read the Wall Street Journal…watch Bloomberg as well as CNBC. I simply explained I want to identify the strongest markets each day (Have no opinions) as well as the weakest..&.see if I can put on a low risk in either direction. That is it… no analysis…all of my work has been done before.. All of this is done through trading formulas I have developed.

I told him I want to be the guy who is not looking for a bargain…rather being the odd one who is buying high with the possible chance high will go higher…and vice versa..

To me this is so simple and stress free. I know I will make my money over a long series of trades.. I do put any personal attachment to any trade. ..I do not fall in love with any market…..have no opinions..( everyone likes to brag about how smart their research was..etc)

This is what trend following is… I know the probabilities are in my favor. I know I will have series of trades that do not work..but who cares…I stumble into some great trades every now and then like Sugar or Cotton this year. There are only 4 probabilities… big losses..which I avoid with stops..small profits …small loses which cancel each other out and rare big profits…this is it..Nothing magical. The probabilities are on my side as long as I manage my risks…I take only low risk per trade percentages… have a maximum risk per sector…and a cap on open trade equity. The numbers will work out over time.

Trend following is a life time strategy once you have the proper plan and mindset.

Andrew Abraham
Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose money

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