Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Should You Buy Commodities?

I received some interesting thoughts this morning and wanted to share.

You have Commodity bulls such as Jim Rogers and then there are these people below who shun the idea of purchasing commodities. The good news it really does not matter to trend followers. Bull market, Bear Market, Inflation or Deflation all we are looking for are trends.

No one knows the future and when trend following you do not need to know the future.

“When you buy commodities, you’re selling human ingenuity.”
Dylan Grice on why investing in commodities for the long run is a bad idea. (SocGen Cross
Asset Research, December 2010

“This faith in the human brain is just human exceptionalism and is not justified
either by our past disasters, the accumulated damage we have done to the
planet, or the frozen-in-the-headlights response we are showing right now in
the face of the distant locomotive quite rapidly approaching and, thoughtfully
enough, whistling loudly.”
Jeremy Grantham on why the world is facing a paradigm shift on commodities (GMO
Letter, April 2011)

Trend following is taking low risk bets. Trend followers know the vast majority of these trades will not work and that they will lose money on many of them. To these trend followers this is the cost of being available when there are markets that trend.

This has been my personal experience over the years. Trend following and commodity trading takes a special mindset. It is not easy. Most people would never consider buying highs and selling lows. They want to be smart and buy cheap and sell high. This is not trend following and to garnish profits is even more difficult(at least in my opinion).

Even through the years with trend following and all the draw downs & even long periods of draw downs I have personally been able to compound money over time. One needs to have a very long perspective and ask themselves what will $100,000 look like in 10 years or 15 years. My personal goal has been approx 15% on average between allocating to commodity trading advisors as well as my own trading ( all along with ugly draw downs and worse long periods of draw downs). As much as I do not know the future as stated above all I can do is follow exactly my plan and hope for trends to appear.

Futures trading involves risk. People can and do lose money

Andrew Abraham

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