Commodity Trading & Trend Following

A recent video on CNBC presents the idea that “Everyone Can be a millionaire”. In this video they interview a school teacher who presents very simple ideas for compounding money over time. Andrew Hallam has a book called “The Millionaire Teacher” and has 9 rules. The basic point is start early ( let compounding work [...]

Ray Dalio started his hedge fund back Bridgewater in a 2 bedroom apt in NYC back in the 1970s. Today Bridgewater is managing money for pension funds and sovereign wealth funds around the world. Bridge water manages approx $120 Billion dollars. Dalio’s Bridgewater utilizes a global macro investing style that adapts to changes in economic [...]

Some times a picture is more than words. This picture courtesy of Charles Hugh Smith says it all! When there is a crisis in the past Trend followers have benefited. Time will tell if this will be the case now. This year for trend followers has been tough to say the least. As I told [...]

If one were to run their personal household as the FED runs the Govt we would be living on the street. It is shocking to me we are at this point. Maybe shocking is the wrong term, maybe disgust. Bloomberg’s Chart of the Day yesterday represented the GDP and Debt per capita on a historical [...]

This year has been very tough on many trend followers. It seems that many trend followers have not made money since December of 2010. Clearly there are exceptions such as Chadwick, Fort LP and Saxon however the majority including myself are having a flat year at best. The standouts on the downside are Chesapeake and [...]

There are those Madoff lovers who want consist smooth returns. Well they do not exist in the real world. As much as there is correlation between commodity trading advisors there is a randomness of returns over time. Some commodity trading advisors seem to have a great run and then hit a wall with some ugly [...]

Nassim Taleb was in the news day quite often in the 2008 period. He has been relatively out of the limelight recently. Saw this video on Bloomberg in which Nassim Taleb discusses Wall street and the banking situation. An interesting watch
Direct Bloomberg Link for Nassim Taleb
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It is always enjoyable to watch Marc Faber. It is even more funny to think that he can predict so many markets. Listening to “Gurus” can be very expensive to ones net worth. Maybe he is right maybe he will not be. Marc Faber predicts the US dollar will rebound, however Marc Faber is not [...]

Trend following in 2005 and 2006 had to be one of the hardest and challenging periods for trend followers. Not just my trend following was terrible but the majority of the CTAs that I had invested hit what I would call 6th sigma draw downs in the 30% range. Even worse than the 30% draw [...]

There are clearly many brokers out there but only several stand out as far as experience,knowledge and integrity. I want to share with my readers Mt. Kemble managed Futures. Todd is an IB for MF Global and has tremendous experience in the managed futures arena. I feel lucky to have found Todd. If you are [...]