Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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The Death of Trend Following According to Ed Seykota

As most trend followers know, we are going through a tough period.However there are always tough periods. 2005 and 2006 were tough. As Ed Seykota is one of the founding fathers of trend following, I reread his Market Wizards interview with Jack Schwager often. Today I wanted to share Ed Seykota’s thoughts.

Ed Seykota does not believe that Trend following can die or completely fail. Seykota states that all trading is done on a systematic basis. Many of the best methodologies are based on following trends.Life is based on trends. Birds fly South for the Winter and even the women’s body runs on a cycle.

Ed Seykota’s main point is that profitability of trading systems run in cycles. As this is a low point, this makes it potentially one of the greatest possible periods to invest trend following strategies. As much as past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance, no one ever rings a bell when profits might start. It is also possible the current drawdown and duration of drawdown can extend. We are only dealing in uncertainty.

As the number of traders who utilize a trend following approach increases, the profitability diminishes. However after long periods of lacking performance they quit. Under capitalized and inexperienced traders stop trading. (An interesting point is when I was at the CTA EXPO in London I spoke to the NFA representative. She told me the registration of new CTAs were down.) It seems the words of Ed Seykota are coming to reality.

The key to trend following according to Ed Sekyota is longevity. In my words – Staying in the marathon.
Trend Following is a marathon. It is never easy nor is trend following for everyone.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE (“FOREX”) IS SUBSTANTIAL.


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