Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Trend Following Donchian Channel breakout 100‐50

Trading systems do not need to be complicated to work. The main issues however are the risk parameters. Think in terms of risk per trade…risk per sector…and total risk on the portfolio. As well as I do not like taking trades where I am risking more than $2,000 to $2,500 per contract with futures or large percentage dollars when I trade stocks. The idea is to try to buy quiet markets that are breaking out. This concept is simple and robust. It can be traded on all time frames and all markets.

Use your own rules…however you can think in terms like these simple generic rules…( however do not think this is the Holy Grail). This concept should only be used after you have tested…have confidence and strong risk measures in place.

– Go long at Stop as soon as the price crosses the upper Donchian band of 100 days
– Exit long at stop as soon as the price crosses the lower Donchian band of 50 days
– Go short at Stop as soon as the price crosses the lower Donchian band of 100 days
– Exit short at stop as soon as the price crosses the upper Donchian band of 50 days
– Use 4 times ATR of 10 days as parameter for the maximum risk to calculate the position
Position sizing:
1% ( maximum)based on initial stop loss (based on 4 times the 10-day-ATR)

You make your own rules to match your personality…However this could be used. More there will always be losses and long periods you do not make money with this strategy. You will put yourself in the position to stumble into some interesting trades that can go beyond your expectations…

Past performance is not indicative of future performance

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