Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Stories from an Old Time Trend Follower- Waiting for the Big One Winning Trade

Anyone who has been trading & trend following managed futures over the last 3 years knows how hard it has been. Actually this is one of the most hardest & unique periods in which almost 3 years in a row have been negative to losing. There are always draw downs and long periods of sub performance…however this period stands out and shows how tough trend following can be. Many commodity trading advisors are experiencing their worst draw downs EVER. Harder for clients to stomach is the duration of the draw down. It is never easy…but this period is exceptional. Many commodity trading advisors have even closed.

However, I was encouraged by an old timer. As much as Past performance is not indicative of future performance, he told me about traders that were discouraged in 1958,1959 and 1960. It seemed very similar to now. Long periods of losing and a long duration of time of flat to negative performance. Many traders and trend followers threw in the towel. However a small group of traders who were disciplined and patient were rewarded. In the soybean market of 1960 to 1961 in only 60 days the market became the proverbial ” Big One”. One trader turned $10,000 into $1,700,000…another $15,000 into $150,000 and yet another $60,000 into $280,000. These were rare and unique traders not representative of all traders as well as a rare period in the market. There is no precedent if it will happen again as all we are dealing in is complete uncertainty.

Again what he stated that most of the time, traders “try” to keep loses small and there are more periods like this than good periods. He stressed that one big move makes it possible for a trader to have 9 losing trades and one big one for them to come out positive…but it is a tough and emotional game.

When there will be the proverbial Big One…No one knows if or even when or what market. The Big one may or may not occur this year or next, this is what makes managed futures & trend following such a tough game. The best you can try to do is cut your losses, be disciplined, be patient and be prepared to stumble into trades. No one knows the future.

Past performance is not indicative of future performance


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