Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

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If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at or call 954 903 0638.

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Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.



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Perhaps this time it really is different, though..Stock Market Margin Debt

Sure Janet Yellen reassures the market and poof the market jumps. No risk any more!!! Buy and hold and simply get rich. Actually was in a meeting yesterday discussing just this. Why do you try to “time the market”? I countered by I would not feel comfortable being down 50% once over 10 years but twice. Or how about waiting countless years for the Nasdaq to reach prior peaks…Even the worlds greatest investor Warren Buffet suffered severe losses. More so in the Great Depression ( I forgot I was told that could not happen any more) it took 25 years to get back…or in 1973 only 12 years…I love it only ..only 12 years…Most people can not live through a 20% draw down let alone wait for 12 years…I mentioned the Japanese stock market which was at a high of 39,000 in 1989. Well, that is not the US market.

As an investor or trader….I know that anything can happen. I am not a bear nor a bull. I try to stay out of big trouble and try to keep my losses small. Not fun as yesterday I exited my long QLD and QQQ only to see them bounce up with the Yellan rally. What I did do was follow my rules. We had a clustering of 4 distribution days and historically this has shown heavy institutional selling.

The market had a good snap back rally yesterday ( relief rally???).The COMPQ and SPY were both higher by .75%, decent up moves.Volume was mixed on the day with the New York showing higher volume and the Nasd having lower trading. It would have been more convincing to see higher volume all around. Leading stocks rallied and that is what you want to see. However the market has suffered some real damage in the last few days and we will have to see some strong heavy volume in both the major averages and quality growth stocks before we can get comfortable that the rally is back on solid ground.

A concerning issue is the level of margin debt. margin debt

According to NYSE’s latest monthly report, investor margin debt increased by $25.8 billion to $464.31 billion. While we did see two consecutive monthly declines in leverage, margin debt has now recovered in a very robust fashion. Without a doubt, the extremes still remain in place and warn that investors are overly exposed to equities,

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