Commodity Trading & Trend Following

As I have stated repeatedly, I do not know the future nor do I make predictions. I will let Jim Rogers go on CNBC and make statements (many times he is correct) such as the housing market and even his recent about buying Euro dollars. This was a wonderful trade for commodity traders. Jim Rogers [...]

This is not just a funny video.. it is so true …it is so scary..
Many Fear the Boom and Bust cycle of John Maynard Keynes and F. A. Hayek. These two are considered the great economists of the 20th century. This rap song on the economic crisis is so true. Before the conference begins, and [...]

Would you invest with a commodity trading advisor that had been around for approx 13 years and had a rate of return of approx 31% annual return over those 13 years?
I would bet so many fund of funds would love this story and throw money on him. The only problem is Neiderhoffer blew up.The fact [...]

Trading mistakes are common in commodity and forex trading. I became involved with my partners in order to learn from the mistakes of other commodity traders (and plenty of my own mistakes). In my opinion after being involved in commodity trading and trend following the basis of trading mistakes all boil down to three issues.
1. [...]

It has been rather easy to be skeptical when the Govt has come out with claims that the Stimulus package has really worked…or their line of saving or creating jobs. In today’s news CIT is contemplating going out of business…with several billion of taxpayer stimulus money wasted. This Friday only 9 more banks went out [...]

Letting your profits run in commodity trading is one of the most basic attributes of trend following. Commodity traders that adhere to this tenant put themselves in a position of potential long term success. The problem is that many new or inexperienced commodity traders do not have either the patience or discipline to let profits [...]

You probably only thought the banks in the US are failing. Well approx 98 banks have failed in the US this year alone. Last year there was a run on Northern Rock in the UK. This week the Dutch govt intervened to prevent a run on the bank DSB. I wonder when all green shoots [...]

It seems there are always to make money… But would you really give your hard earned money to these guys?

The terrorist organization Hamas rose approx $500 million to build tunnels to Egypt to smuggle weapons and other material to Gaza. Well these investors have lost all their money since during the last Gaza War these [...]

What is your risk tolerance?
Most people that I know don’t think about risk tolerance, this is why they do not even know where this threshold is in commodity trading. The fact is most people actually hate to lose money no matter how small the amount is. This is one of the reasons that many want [...]

Today what do you call a gold bug? Cautious, prudent ,scared or a trend follower?
The fact is that Gold is on the move once again. As I am writing this post gold is knocking on the door of $1020 again. Is it time to start gold prospecting? If you are a trend follower in [...]