Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

Books Worth Reading

Sponsored Listings

Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

infolinks

Links

Trend Following CTA abraham investment management
Binary Options
Learn Forex Trading Online
Get a grip on forex trading with this free online course.
Tax Software

Why Complicate Your Trading in the Stock Market?

It seems to be a very common theme I have when I teach and mentor. Many are looking for new indicators or methods. After their first shock on his simple my layout is they start to realize their mistakes.

The reason students look for these answers is they want to avoid losses. Can not happen. There will always be losses. On my screen I have volume, two moving averages and I color code my bars just for a little eye candy. That is it…Buy signals are based on simple X day breakouts or patterns which I have shared before…Want to see breakouts with volume. This shows conviction.

Stops are based on profit targets and when I have great conviction with a stock I trail it with both he 10 day and 50 day moving averages…That is it…Not rocket science…My selection of stocks is different than the norm. I want to buy the strongest stocks when the market is healthy…

Why complicate your trading in the stock market?

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Current 50 Day Moving Average

The 50 day moving average is serving as resistance for both the index and their relative strength lines. It would be a very positive sign if they could clear this important moving average with some conviction. The market is trying to rally after it’s recent decline. How far this rally attempt goes and weather or not it turns into something worthwhile?

My confidence level only will return if we can take out the prior highs on both the SP 500 and QQQ

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Want to Make 13.3% In the Stock Market? It might just be possible

Well according to Marty Zweig and Ned Davis Research it might just be possible…

The buy and sell signals are based upon the Value Line Composite Geometric Index.

For the 30 year period 1965-1995, the 4% rule return gave 13.3% per year while the buy-and-hold return was 3.2% per year.

These are not my words but the research.However I have incorporated their work into my models and include moving averages.

qqq

vlaueline

I am still not on a buy…Try out these models and let me know what you think

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Paying your Dues when Trading & Commodity Trading

It is not just us mortal traders. It is PHDs and Noble Prize winners.
Long-Term Capital Management L.P. was considered too clever to get caught in a market downdraft. The Greenwich (Conn.) hedge fund nearly tripled the money of its wealthy investors between its inception in March, 1994, and the end of 1997. Its sophisticated arbitrage strategy was avowedly ”market-neutral”–designed to make money whether prices were rising or falling. Indeed, until last spring its net asset value never fell more than 3% in a single month.

Then came the guns of August. Long-Term Capital’s rocket science exploded on the launchpad. Its portfolio’s value fell 44%, giving it a year-to-date decline of 52%. That’s a loss of almost $2 billion.

The list continues on and on. From one of the famous turtle founders to John Henry. One must pay their dues when trading. There is one word which resonates.

Commitment…

Learn how to trade. Learn how much risk per trade to put on…Learn about correlations..Learn about portfolio risk…Even with all of this said…There will still be loses and losing periods. This is were the psychology must come in and a strong dose of commitment…

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

51% of China-Listed Company s Halted From Trading- Can the Bear Market Stop?

Is now really the time you want to be invested? China is the 2nd largest stock market. Can the volatility spill over? Can the US Stock fall almost 40% in 3 weeks like the Nasdaq equivalent of the Chinese Stock Market?

The truth is no one knows…however one must trade with a trading plan! I am not a bear…nor a bull…I do not catch falling knives either. I follow models that stand the probability to stay on the correct side of the market.

Currently these models are telling me to go CASH!

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Chinese Stock Market Roller Coaster Ride

The roller coaster ride of China’s stock market got even more interesting this morning.

To the relief of many traders CSI 300 index popped on the open up 8.5% however by the close the CSI 300 was up only 2.52%. On Friday the CSI 300 dropped 5.4% which brought the CSI 300 to more than Bear market territory.

The roller coaster continued with the Shanghai Composite, which opened up 7.82% closed to the negative area with a decline of 2.52%.

The Chinese Govt is trying to prevent more deluge by prohibiting selling…so much for a Free market!!!

The reason I wrote this post was that I have a student who after going through mentoring froze and did not follow his trading rules…He asked in terror what to do…

Watch this video to learn more.

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Bob Shiller’s Cape Indicator- Stock Market Crash Ahead??

If you have been following my blog, you should now know that I do not subscribe to Gurus. My goal in my trend following teaching is that you can become your own guru.

There are many who say we are in a Stock market bubble…and maybe we are…However I much prefer to use time tested tools to keep me on the right side of the market. As you can clearly see, without opinions…I am in cash on the sidelines….

dia

QQQ

Or you can listen to Bob Shiller the professor of economics from Yale University and listen to all of his reasons why stocks are in a bubble…More so…he states..

His CAPE indicator of equity market valuation is flashing red (highest since 1929, 2000, and 2007)

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Another Nail on the Coffin of this Bull Market

Our job as stock market investors is to know where we stand not just on our stocks…but the whole market. My model went to cash on the SP 500 Friday. It has been rather whippy…however another nail on this bull market might be the signs of weakness presented in the market breadth…

A picture speaks a thousand words…

breadth

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Metastock Live Webinar Increasing Trading Returns & Decreasing Draw downs

Yesterday I had a live Thompson Reuters Metastock Webinar….you can view below…

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com

Metastock Webinar Increasing Trading Returns and Decreasing Draw Downs

andy1

andy2

[Post to Twitter] Tweet This Post 

Add This! Blinkbits Blinklist Blogmarks BlogMemes BlueDot BlogLines co.mments Connotea del.icio.us de.lirio.us Digg Diigo DZone Facebook FeedMeLinks Folkd.com Fleck Furl Google Google Reader icio.de IndianPad Leonaut LinkaGoGo Linkarena Linkter Magnolia Mister Wong MyShare Ask.com MyStuff Ask.com Yahoo! MyWeb Netscape Netvouz Newsgator Newsvine Oneview.de RawSugar reddit Rojo Segnalo Shadows Simpy SlashDot Smarking Sphere Spurl Startaid StumbleUpon TailRank Technorati ThisNext yigg.de Webnews.de ReadMe.ru Dobavi.com Dao.bg Lubimi.com Ping.bg Pipe.bg Svejo.net Web-bg.com Plugin by Dichev.com