Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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XTrade Europe Advises on Picking a Brokerage Company

It is not always easy to find a perfect broker such as XTrade Europe – a company which would provide us with everything for successful online investing. It is a problem that bothers both people who are about to open their first account and those who want to explore different options and start working with another company.

Here are a few tips that might be useful to all people interested in online trading:

Commissions and fees

It is not a secret that people choose XTrade Europe and other brokerage companies based on the commissions and fees. Their motto is: cheaper is better! However, this is not always true. In fact, it is not true at all. The fact that some companies have low fees does not tell us anything about the quality of services that these firms provide. Most of the time, a low commission comes together with a poor customer service and support. In some cases, you will not be able to find anyone who would help you or give you an advice. This is why choosing a company based only on trading expenses is not the best strategy. Of course, this does not mean we should not check these expenses at all and see whether they are suitable for us.

Fees ones more

Trading commissions are just a tip of the iceberg. Besides these usual fees, we must count on many other expenses when using a brokerage services, including fees for inactive accounts and transferring money to our bank account. In addition, we will have to pay every time when our balance drops below minimum deposit. All these costs should be taken into consideration when choosing our online broker.

Deposit

Almost every company has different rules when it comes to initial deposit that has to be paid before we even open our trading account. Nobody can tell you which amount would be the perfect for you. You must know how much you are ready to pay and what amount would perfectly fits you. So, think twice before you make final decision.

Online support

Here is the thing: you just cannot survive in the world of online trading if you rely only on you individual efforts. Even if you have a superb trading skills, you will get in trouble sooner or later. And this is the moment when online support and customer services become extremely important. Take your time to check whether you broker takes care about customers or not. It is just not the same if you talk with a machine or a real person. Companies like XTrade Europe have built their good reputation thanks to their commitment to clients. This is definitely an issue that should be your priority when searching for a brokerage company you want to trade with.

Trading strategy and tools

Although the goal of online investing is always the same- earning as much money as possible, ways of doing this varies depending on the situation. This is why quality of a trading platform provided by our broker is extremely important for successful trading. You should check why almost all experienced traders say XTrade Europe has one of the best platforms we can find these days.

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The Hardest Part is Making Profits and Keeping Them !!!

Firstly every trader knows it is not not easy to generate profits out of the market. The reality of trend following is that most trades do not work. Do not work simply means just that…..they do not work…of course you did not realize a profit, you actually lost money. However one must think in terms of positive and simply the trade did not work.

Ok…so we get it….most trades do not work…and then there are the few that do work. These are the ones that create our profits. However these profits can easily slip away in trend following with trading with stops. More so I have seen repeatedly in my mentoring, is once some profits are generated, more money is thrown at the market. Invariably after a nice run up, there is the proverbial draw down…..

There goes the profits.

I have seen countless times both in leverage ETFs and Futures, too much concentration, too large of position size….or simply trading without stops. These all lead to disaster!!!

The fact it is not easily to pull money out of the markets…Keeping the profits are even harder.

That is why education is paramount

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Why are Smart Investors Telling Us to Sell?

There are gurus who over the years have made significant wealth by trading the stock market. However I have seen gurus come and go. More so beyond skeptical when George Soros said to sell the GBP before BREXIT and he in turn bought GBP….Was this to create a short squeeze?

Today we have guru after guru calling a top with fear and brimstone yet the trend from a trend following stand point is up.

Jeff Gundlach
“Sell everything. Nothing here looks good.”
Stan Druckenmiller
“Get out of the stock market.”
George Soros
“The billionaire hedge fund founder and philanthropist recently directed a series of big, bearish investments, according to people close to the matter.”
Carl Icahn
“I don’t think you can have (near) zero interest rates for much longer without having these bubbles explode on you” while also saying it’s difficult to assess when exactly that might occur.
Bill Gross
“I don’t like bonds. I don’t like most stocks. I don’t like private equity.”

The answer…Have a trading plan do not rely on anyone but yourself!!

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IPO Base Break Out Patterns $LN

In the view of finding patterns and breakouts, one that always has potential is the IPO Break out. Only foolish traders buy on the IPO launch. In many cases there is a pullback and shake out. LN is a nice example of these to put on your watch list.

You want to find strong stocks in strong markets with strong financials….Put on low risk bet trades with stops no more than 7% below your entry….and simply trade with a plan…

ln

LNchargt

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No Brainer Trading

I received an email this morning…No Brainer Trades…What this add seemed to imply how easy trading is….Sure…That is why most lose money! This add did not take into account position sizing, when to exit with a profit or exit with a profit…Nothing…Just magical No Brainer setup trades.

Entries are just one small part of trading and trend following. Unfortunately too many fall for adds like this or look for magical indicators…or spend countless hours in search of ways to avoid losses.

Can not and will not happen. The only reality is try to keep your losses small…let your trades run with trailing stops that can be as simple as a moving average.

No hype..No nonsense…

no brainer trades

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UnHappy Investors-Trend Following

Most investors chase returns. Risk almost becomes secondary. This includes both institutional and High Net Worth investors. Too many chase all weather type products. All weather means regardless of market environment consistent 45 degree angle returns. In the last crisis these all weather funds blew up.

This year there are many unhappy hedge fund investors. Truthfully we are 7 years plus into a FED induced bull market. Most profits are made in the beginning of a bull market, not potentially the end.

The hedge fund industry suffered large redemptions in June of this year. As a result, Q2 flows were negative for the third consecutive quarter, and H1 flows were negative for only the second time on record. Outflows were highest among equity-focused strategies( long/short and event driven funds). Commodity funds & Managed futures ( trend following) have come back into focus. It has been the toughest 6 years for Managed Futures. Some of the well known Trend Following funds have closed. Others, including myself have beyond struggled.

This is what trend following is. You have lumpy returns. You never know what markets will move or stocks. The only thing you can try to do is keep your losses small, stay focused, stay patient, follow your plan and not give up.

David Druz the author of my book The Bible of Trend Following said successful trend following is getting knocked down ( draw down)….getting back up…getting knocked down again….getting knocked down and having the fortitude of getting back up….

What is ironic as tough as the last 6 years have been, the trend following CTAs who have survived, many of the funds under management include a very large portion of their own personal net worth ( sometimes in the tens of millions). This money has been accumulated over years if not decades. Take this into consideration however, more want to be CTAs have closed up shop than ones remaining….

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE (“FOREX”) IS SUBSTANTIAL.

book

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Trend Following Mid Year Stock Market

We just crossed the midpoint of 2016. It is rather easy to state that equity valuations look overstretched. Analysts at Credit Suisse note that S&P 500 valuations stand at 1.49 standard deviations from the historical norm. “In the past, when this model has crossed the 1.5 standard deviation mark, the S&P 500 has fallen on a 12-month forward basis 58% of the time,” they wrote in a recent note to clients.

Not to be a pessimist when I am a trend follower… there are weak corporate profit growth, an ugly division going on in the US, polarized political landscape and economic strains in China and Japan. This can make for increased volatility with stocks.

“A market without support of strong earnings growth or cheap valuations is going to experience heightened volatility”

So are you prepared? Do you have a trading plan? Have you gone through 2003 & 2007 market scenarios?

If not, consider investing time and effort into your own personalized trading plan.

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The Power of Relative Strength Ranking ETFs

One of the strongest combinations of trend following are combining relative strength and moving averages. Some of the biggest Hedge funds use this concept. It keeps you on the right side of any market. One can adjust the sensitivities of the ranking as well as the moving averages…

Using today’s ETF Scan based on Relative strength showed the following results…

Strongest- Trend Following ETF

strongest

Weakest – Trend Following ETF

weakest

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Trend Following Pattern- High Tight Flag #TSRO

Trend following patterns repeat themselves over and over. The trend following pattern of a High Tight Flag we have seen in Tesla and other leading stocks. The flag takes some time to build thus we have time to identify it. The idea is we look to buy the breakout of the flag. TSRO is a recent example. The move up was on an extreme volume. I drew an arrow as after a gap up one can buy the breakout of the high of the gap up…

tsro

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Today’s Trend Following Video Chat

I received this email and thought it was very nice of him….I enjoy working with people. Too many people have the misconception that trend following is simple or easy. When I can help people to achieve their goals, a tremendous amount of satisfaction is achieved….

Andrew,

No, I thank you for your time, BUT also for being willing to help me. I’ve spoken with XXX several times and emailed a bunch but he always talked generalities. So I’ve read and studied everything I could find but had no person I could talk to who actually practices trend following and is willing to help. SO a big thanks. I am most appreciative.

Pray that you and your family are safe and well. Not sure what this old world is coming to these days.

Look forward to speaking with you again in the future.

Thanks again,

David T

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