Andrew Abraham

andy-0101 My name in Andrew Abraham. I have been investing in commodities and managed futures since 1994. I adhere to the philosophy of trend following. Trend following stresses a disciplined approach to commodity/ futures trading. Successful trend following and commodity futures investing requires patience, discipline and actively managing the risk. What sets me apart from other traders is that I am not only concerned about the return on investment but how much risk I will have to tolerate to achieve my goals.

Contact Details

If you are interested in contacting for speaking engagements. Please email me at Andrabr9@gmail.com or call 954 903 0638.

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Risk Warning

Futures and commodity trading involve substantial risk. The evaluations of futures and commodities may fluctuate and as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. In no event should the content of this website be construed as an express or an implied promise, guarantee or implication by, that you will profit, or that losses can or will be limited in any manner whatsoever. Past results are no indication of future performance. Information provided on this website is intended solely for informative purposes and is obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible, where projections of future conditions are attempted.

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Winning Strategies with Daily and Weekly Charts for High Growth Stocks

Combining both weekly and daily charts when trading high growth stocks makes trend following much clearer. When looking at weekly charts various pattern recognition’s become evident. Watch this short video on high growth stocks to learn more on improving your trend following skills.

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Richard Duncan Multi-Decade Global Depression?

Richard Duncan is the author of The Dollar Crisis and The New Depression: The Breakdown Of The Paper Money Economy.

Richard Duncan believes we are heading for a Multi-Decade Global Depression!

With all the massive debt and QE forever being printed….What happens if he is right?

How do you protect your financial wealth?

Great question and I am asked that often….As I said prior, Everyone has an opinion…however as we saw with the massive move of the US Dollar, anything can happen. Trend followers do not have an opinion. They went long the US Dollar and sold many of the other currencies. Some trend follower had tremendous years in 2014. This does not mean it will happen in the immediate future nor does it mean there will not be ugly draw downs. In reality Managed futures had one of the toughest 3 years + for decades.

My personal opinion is to pay down debt, be liquid, be available and most of all have a well thought out trading plan that enables one to trade a large basket of items we use in our daily existence. This daily existence ranges from stocks, bonds to everything we consume…

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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Definition of a Distribution Day in the Stock Market

I have been asked by many of my students the definition of a Distribution day in the Stock market. A Distribution day is a decline of at least 0.2% in higher volume. This signifies that the Institutional Big investors are “distributing” shares or in other words liquidating their positions. When we have more than 4 distribution days caution should be exercised. Currently we have 9 Distribution days. My model Andrew Abraham Buy is in cash currently and I do not have any long positions in the stock market.

We want to be in align with institutional investors not being in the opposite corner.

One needs to have a trading plan. The most important issue is to know where we are in the stock market cycle

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High Distribution Day Counts Might Be Prudent Not to Be in the Stock Market

Currently we have 7 Distribution days on both the SPY and the QQQ. This shows strong institutional selling. It is like fighting an upstream battle in the stock market. One can look at the shares in which they bought and see how they are working. I try to pick the strongest stocks both fundamentally and technically. However these strong stocks such as FB, TWTR,QRVO, ORLY are not especially working.

It might be prudent to sit on the sidelines of the stock market…however you make your own decisions…

Trend following is comprised of both rules and art.

Make your masterpiece with trend following!

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Why Did the Stock Market Sell off So Hard? $SPY

Does the stock market really need a reason. Just look at Sonic. They reported good earnings and the stock tanked. One key has been the preponderance of Distribution days. They have been in the 6 range in both the SPY and QQQ. Caution should be exercised at this juncture and trades should have exact pre thought rules. Do not get caught up in the emotions of trading.

This is what I teach at Trendfollowingmentor.com
Build a trading plan and learn how to follow it…

Watch this video to learn more…

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Twitter Breakout Trend Following Study $TWTR $QQQ

Yesterday Twitter broke out of cup and handle. It is a good example even if it does not work of combining a fundamental approach and a technical approach.

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US Dollar Flash Crash Trend Following

The reality is trend following is never easy. For US Dollar Bulls the reality became very clear yesterday. The US Dollar became Swiss Cheese yesterday. The US Dollar fell 5% as in a flash crash. Virtually every trend follower was long US Dollar and short virtually every other currency. This is the reality of trend following and trading. It was very similar to what happened with the Swiss Franc a couple of months ago.

The veracity of the move caught so many off guard. So how does one prevent this carnage?

The truth is you can not. All you can do is have a complete trading plan. Know what to trade…both from the long side and short side..Know where the trade does not work and exit…and know where to take profits…

If one wants to succeed in trend following the only way is to have a full trading plan!

usd

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
This website contains references to hypothetical trading results This website contains references to hypothetical trading results.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS
** THE MATERIAL DISPLAYED ON THIS WEBSITE IS INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

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Trend Following Winning Stocks $QQQ $MDVN

In one’s quest for successful stock trading a combination of fundamental and technical analysis is needed. One first most know where they stand in the stock market. Then they want to find successful profitable companies….and then probably most importantly know exactly when to buy them….

Watch this video to see the combination of Fundamental & Technical

mdvn

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How much Longer will Oil go Down???

I have been flooded with questions regarding how low can oil go. Should I buy USO?. Firstly I tell those who ask….
1. Have a plan
2. Do not ask anyone
3. Be your own Guru
4. I am not a Registered investment advisor…

However many times magazine covers can be considered a contrarian indicator. Look at the cover of Time Magazine a while back and maybe this will be another indicator..

cheap gas

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Trend Following for High Growth Investing as well Value Investing

Trend following can be used for value stock investing as well as high growth stock investing. However in both cases it is imperative to know where you are in the stock market.

Watch this video to learn more…

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