Commodity Trading & Trend Following

In these days it is hard to find confidence or trust in anything. As a long term trend follower the only thing I trust is price ( as well as my Golden Retriever, wife and kids). If I tried to trust anything other than price I would surely lose money. The reality is everything known [...]

The question is… Can trend following end? First of all… anything can happen and it will happen. However as a long time trend follower, in my opinion there are numerous reasons why I do not believe trend following can or will end. The question came up when I was in a meeting with an institutional [...]

It has been a negative period for the US dollar in the Forex Markets. When we are trend following we really do not look at the fundamental back drop ,but it seems evident. Look at it this way… with all the debt taken on and more spending by Govt, it doesnג€™t make sense? If we [...]

Donchian’s Holy Grail & Trading Guides for Commodity trading & Forex Markets (First published- 1934)
Follow these and compound your way to wealth:
Beware of acting immediately on a widespread public opinion. Even if correct, it will usually delay the move.
From a period of dullness and inactivity, watch for and prepare to follow a move in the [...]

I seem to have this discussion quit often. In order to achieve success in the commodity markets or forex markets does one need to have a higher level of intelligence than most. Past experience has proven this not to be the case. Example after example both public as well as in our brokerage have proven [...]

There are many novice traders in commodity trading & forex trading that feel they need to have accuracy higher than 70% or even 80%. This is absolutely inaccurate. These are the same inexperienced traders that believe that they can have an automated forex holy grail system.
The fact is,firstly traders in both commodity trading and forex [...]

I want to speak this morning with the idea of trend following in the forex markets and how to use forex signals. There is no magic to trend following in the forex markets. It is not easy however. The magic is using one of the time tested simple forex systems such as Donchian breakout. The [...]