Commodity Trading & Trend Following

How do you take this fact… Newedge CTA Index 20 Month Draw Down Worst on Record …a time to exit managed futures …or a time to be a contrarian? Personally as much as past performance is not indicative of future performance this statistic encourages me even more. The truth is we are only dealing in [...]

You will notice on my stock trading, I let the winners run and cut losses VERY quickly. I currently have two “rare” big winners $HTZ and $SBGI. In order to succeed you have to have patience to let your winners run. This is one of the most basic rules of trend following. This is [...]

For my readers until Friday 4.12.13 I will send you for free any of my kindle books on trend following that are below $7.99. Absolutely free! All I ask is that you write your opinions on the Amazon page review. One book per person.
Look at the list of my books
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Avoiding Bear Markets Using Moving Averages
Many do not believe that market timing works in the stock market. I tend to disagree. Keeping things very simple can become very powerful. I only want to be invested in the stock market when I am above a 200 Day Exponential Moving Average. This simple rule will keep you [...]

Below are my current positions.

Past Performance is not indicative of future performance
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I want to share a short story. In my trading I came into today long several stock indices.Actually they have been some of the strongest markets I look at besides Natural Gas & the US Dollar. It is easy to have a sinking feeling with the news coming out of Cyprus however I took a [...]

Trend Following Mentor reveals the Hard Truths about Trading – Interview with Andrew Abraham of Abraham Investment Management
by ALVIN on FEBRUARY 23, 2013
Andrew Abraham released his book, The Trend Following Bible, at the end of 2012 and he sent me a copy for review. You can read the book summary here. I set up the [...]

Yesterday was a negative day on the SP…today’s globex is negative currently. Make sure you use stops when trading.. Initial stops and trailing stops. Yesterday got taken out of my EMN position and purchased VRX. I risk less than .5% of my account on any trade and max out on 20 positions. I only look [...]

I always look for breakouts when the market is healthy…However any trade is 50/50. I risk approx .5% of my account on any trade. Usually do not have more than 20 positions and I use position sizing on my trades.
I entered the breakout of $MX however yesterdays action was rather negative…as is the whole SP [...]

Yesterday got filled on MX as it moved up. Still skeptical of the market with tight stops..

Past performance not indicative of future performance
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