Commodity Trading & Trend Following

2010 is fast approaching. I have had conversations with colleagues..and the issue that was brought up so many times was 2007-2009 just a fluke or the beginning of something more serious. As usual… I told them to their discern I do not know the future. However in all reality… if we ran our personal households [...]

Nouriel Roubini has stated that the current rally is simply a bear market rally. More so he came and spoke about extended unemployment and it’s implications. The file for unemployment numbers seem not to stop. You name the state,oregon unemployment,texas unemployment,nys unemployment, california unemployment or florida unemployment the requests for unemployment compensation are growing ( [...]

Everyone seems to want to know when they can pick up all the bargains in the market. Seems that risk is a forgotten word.There are those that think that this is simply a BEAR Market rally. There have to be reactions and markets do not go down forever. The truth is only time will tell. The fact is the Dow rose 39.51 points, or 0.5%, to 8017.59, its highest close since Feb. 9. The Nasdaq has risen 25% during its four-week winning streak.

There seems to be tug of war between those who ” Predict” this harsh Recession will be over this quarter or next year and those that react to the economic situation. Truthfully no one knows how long this Recession will last or when it will be over. The fact is those more money has been lost recently trying to call a bottom. The next reality is that there is further evidence that there is a deepening of the slowdown not just in the US but from around the world.

Pretty strong words were used by the prime minister of the Czech Republic,Mirek Topolanek regarding Obama’s economic plans. Mr. Topolanek holds the EU’s six-month rotating presidency. He believes that the European Union governments must avoid the type of spending ( $2 Trillion dollars) to get out of the current recession ( Depression?). His views were not widely accepted by his colleagues. Is it that Mr. Topolanek is just going through a rough time personally since he was ousted by his own parliament after a losing a no confidence vote on Tuesday?

Take out your feelings on Ben with the bernanke squeeze doll.

Nouriel Roubini and Nassim Taleb (”Dr Doom and the Black Swan”) discuss the crisis –and what to do about it.

In less than twenty-four hours the price of Gold climbed $65 and the price of Silver $1.20. Considering the announcement by the Fed, one has to wonder why the moves were not bigger. The Fed stated it is going to ג€œincrease the sizeג€ of its balance sheet, that means it is going to put the printing presses on full octane, maximum performance. What this really means that in approx 6 months or so there will be an additional $1,050,000,000 in circulation. The ABCs of economics are when this happens Inflation raises it’s ugly head.

What words can describe the current situation? Fear…Dispair… Disbelief..Hopelessness…? I am sure not everyone feels these feelings…but I would tend to believe a great many do. People are afraid of losing their jobs and with good reason. Many people are only a paycheck or two away from default. The mood of the country is surely down. Amplifying the mood has been all the expressed anger about bailing out banks and financial institutions that made poor decisions. Putting salt on the wound was the bonus-paying spree to the incompetents at insurance giant AIG and Fannie. Now billions of dollars are being promised to the auto industry. Where does it end? Will this really help the economy or is it another bailout where those who asked for bailouts came in their private jets.

Do you remember the statement.. It is the economy,Stupid…Maybe the same words are effecting President Obama’s approval ratings. They are slipping as Americans are worried about the economy. Obamaג€™s approval rating slipped to 59 percent from 64 percent last month. All in all Americans still generally support Obamaג€™s handling of the economy, more questions are cropping up. One of the most pertinet was yesterdays AIG debacle. Obama is scrambling to assure Americans he is extremely aware of public outrage over taxpayer-backed bonuses for AIG executives.